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Econometric analysis of the import volume of the Republic of Kazakhstan

Abstract

Econometric analysis of the import volume of the Republic of Kazakhstan

Tsvil M.M., Nesterova A.V.

Incoming article date: 15.04.2019

The article describes a trend-seasonal adaptive model of the time series of the import volume of the Republic of Kazakhstan according to the quarter data in the period from 2013 to 2018. According to the obtained model, the forecast of the imports volume in the value terms for the first quarter of 2019has been made.

Keywords: Republic of Kazakhstan, import, multiplicative model, exponential smoothing, adaptive model, forecasting, trend equation