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Investments in the conditions of risk and uncertainty

Abstract

Investments in the conditions of risk and uncertainty

O.A. Pobegaylov

Incoming article date: 25.08.2013

Each investment project is a difficult product and has a set of financial decisions. As the investment program of development of firm can include some investment projects, investment decisions need to be analyzed not only from positions quantitative, but also from a position of quality indicators of the long-term tasks facing the enterprise. Uncertainty is represented the main mechanism of many considerable economic events as is a component of a production activity. Development of different administrative decisions is influenced usually by risk. When at decision-making we don't take into account possible losses, they are unexpected are transferred heavier. The risk reason as uncertainty is instability of social and economic system. Application of an offered method of risk analysis allows to receive useful information about expected values of the discounted income and net earnings, and also to carry out the analysis of their probabilistic distributions.

Keywords: Investments, projects, decision, resources, deviation, uncertainty, risk, probability, discounting