Modeling of the development of the accident rate of building structures
Abstract
Modeling of the development of the accident rate of building structures
Incoming article date: 28.08.2023This article analyzes the assessment of the signs leading to the possible destruction of the investigated building structure. Using the mathematical basis for diagnosing the destruction of a building structure, it is possible to determine how the signs that affect the destruction of the structure or their groups affect the determination of the degree of destruction. Applying the Bayesian approach to determining the degree of malfunction of a building structure and its destruction, a comparison of the probability of destruction of each investigated building structure is given. It was found out how the calculated probability of each structural failure was affected by the presence of each feature and what contribution to the increase or decrease in the probability of an accident was made by the analyzed feature affecting the destruction of the structure. It is proposed to use artificial, model destruction of building structures to determine the influence of various factors on determining the degree of destruction, so to speak, in its pure form and in various variants. In addition, you can get test cases to test the effectiveness of various diagnostic methods and find out a number of theoretical questions. Considering this, and the other goals listed above, models were built. An assessment of the influence of a feature that affects the probability of destruction of a building structure in one of many ways is shown. According to the proposed methods, the values of the sign affecting the destruction for the structure are determined. The probability of destruction is determined.
Keywords: construction and technical expertise, defects, reliability, diagnostic tasks, diagnostic methods, efficiency